Does High Unemployment In Blue States Give Republicans An Advantage In 2022?

As Republicans aim to take back the House and the Senate in 2022, the unemployment situation is one factor that could help them in their takeover.

tippinsights analysis shows that the overall unemployment rate in states led by Republican governors is 1.37 points lower than the overall unemployment rate in states led by Democratic governors.  We also show that shrinkage in the civilian workforce is much lower in Republican areas than in Democratic areas.

While the overall unemployment rate in the United States was 5.53 percent in August, the overall unemployment rate in Republican-controlled states was 4.79 percent, compared to 6.16 percent in Democratic-controlled states.