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Federal Reserve Faces Pressure To Raise Rates Again As Inflation Persists

Some anticipate additional tightening if inflation remains elevated, while others warn that higher borrowing costs could further weaken housing and consumer spending.

Photo by Joshua Hoehne / Unsplash

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged at its October meeting, but persistent inflation could prompt Chairman Kevin Warsh to signal further increases in the coming months.

US consumer inflation reached 3.7% in September, while core inflation stood at 2.6%, remaining above the Fed’s 2% target. Rising energy prices have contributed to the pressure. Meanwhile, mortgage rates above 7% are weighing on housing, and the labour market continues to show limited hiring.

According to CME Group’s FedWatch tool, futures markets assign a low probability to an October hike but expect a stronger chance of an increase in December.

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Economists disagree over the appropriate response. Some anticipate additional tightening if inflation remains elevated, while others warn that higher borrowing costs could further weaken housing and consumer spending.

Allianz economic adviser Mohamed El-Erian argues that fiscal restraint, rather than monetary tightening, would better address inflation concerns without placing additional pressure on vulnerable parts of the economy.

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