Geoeconomic Risk Just Hit Its Highest Level In 25 Years
TIPP's new Geoeconomic Risk Index debuts at 92 out of 100, surpassing the peak it set when Russia invaded Ukraine, and driven this time by one force above all: trade policy.
TIPP's new Geoeconomic Risk Index debuts at 92 out of 100, surpassing the peak it set when Russia invaded Ukraine, and driven this time by one force above all: trade policy.
A monthly gauge of the geopolitical, trade, and supply-chain pressures bearing on the world economy, built on Federal Reserve data and 25 years of TIPP polling, and validated against every major crisis since 2001.
Just two of 21 groups still have economic confidence. Investors are no longer one of them.
Can Trump reverse his slump in time for fall's midterm elections?
Last month, 20 of 21 groups saw optimism fall. This month, 20 of 21 saw stress fall. But the headline sentiment index barely budged. Relief is not the same thing as recovery.
When retail investors got scared in April, the S&P 500 hit 7,000 for the first time. It has happened before.
Of the 21 demographic groups the RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index tracks each month, 20 declined in April. The one that didn't barely moved. As Middle East tensions mount, the data captures something rare: a nation united. In anxiety.
A New Monthly Measure of Where Retail Investors Think the Market Is Headed
The economy isn’t failing; it’s splitting. And the latest March data shows just how wide the gap has become.
Year-End Cheer Boosts Consumer Sentiment