TIPP POLL — ESTABLISHED 1995
The Only Poll to Accurately Predict the Winner of the Last Six U.S. Presidential Elections
The TIPP Poll, directed by Raghavan Mayur, holds the distinction of the most accurate presidential poll of the 21st century.
WHAT THEY SAID ABOUT US
“The gold standard going forward.” — The Hill
“Investor’s Business Daily was the best poll.” — Bill O’Reilly, The O’Reilly Factor
“Almost everybody got it wrong, except Mayur.” — The Record (NorthJersey.com)
“IBD/TIPP Tracking turned out to be the most accurate pollster.” — Mediaite
THE POLLSTER
Raghavan Mayur
Raghavan Mayur has directed the TIPP Poll (formerly IBD/TIPP) for three decades, building it into the most accurate presidential poll of the 21st century. He is the founder and editor of tippinsights.com, and was named one of Politico’s “50 Politicos to Watch.”
While the polling industry faced repeated credibility crises — missing Brexit, the 2016 Trump victory, and the 2020 red shift — the TIPP Poll maintained its record of accuracy, election after election.
Featured Profiles:
Politico — 50 Politicos to Watch
The Spectator — Meet the Pollster Who Doesn’t Suck at His Job
Investor’s Business Daily — The Most Accurate Pollster
Star-Ledger — America’s Most Accurate Pollster
ELECTION BY ELECTION
The Record That Speaks for Itself
2024
SIX FOR SIX
The TIPP Poll correctly predicted the outcome of the 2024 presidential election, extending its unbroken streak to six consecutive cycles — a record unmatched by any other public poll in America.
2020
MOST ACCURATE AGAIN
While most major polls overstated Biden’s lead by 6–8 points, the IBD/TIPP Poll was among the most accurate, as documented independently by The Washington Post and Fortune magazine.
2016
CALLED TRUMP WHEN NO ONE ELSE DID
The IBD/TIPP Poll was the only major national poll to show Donald Trump ahead in a four-way race heading into Election Day. While the rest of the industry predicted a Clinton victory, the TIPP Poll got it right.
“IBD/TIPP Tracking turned out to be the most accurate pollster.” — Mediaite
2012
RANKED #1 BY THE NEW YORK TIMES
The IBD/TIPP Poll earned the distinction of the most accurate national presidential poll in the 2012 election, as ranked independently by Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight analysis in The New York Times and by Bloomberg Businessweek.
New York Times / FiveThirtyEight →
2004 & 2008
WHERE THE STREAK BEGAN
In 2004, the IBD/TIPP Poll came closer than any other national poll to mirroring the actual popular vote margin. In 2008, the poll predicted the outcome precisely. These two elections established the track record that every subsequent cycle has only reinforced.
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