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Strong US Economic Growth Beats Forecasts Despite Persistent Inflation

Gross domestic product growth exceeded economists’ 3.1% forecast and improved from 2.2% in the previous quarter.

Photo by Maksym Tymchyk 🇺🇦 / Unsplash

The US economy expanded at a stronger-than-expected annualized rate of 3.4% in the third quarter of 2026, while inflation accelerated in September, according to Commerce Department data released Thursday.

Gross domestic product growth exceeded economists’ 3.1% forecast and improved from 2.2% in the previous quarter. Consumer spending increased 3.8%, while private domestic investment surged 19.4%, supported by spending on equipment and intellectual property.

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However, the personal consumption expenditures price index rose 0.5% in September, lifting annual inflation to 3.6%, well above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. Higher energy prices were a major contributor, with gasoline and other energy goods increasing 9.2%.

Core PCE inflation, excluding food and energy, rose 3.1% annually. The Federal Reserve held interest rates between 3.75% and 4% on Wednesday as officials assessed incoming economic data.

Meanwhile, initial jobless claims declined to 194,000, indicating continued resilience in the labor market.

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