How Does The US-Iran Deal Affect Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh
The labor market has strengthened, while oil and gasoline prices have declined following the agreement to halt hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz
Economy
TIPP Poll data on Americans' perception of the economy is the foundation for this section. Topics covered include U.S. consumer confidence, consumer sentiment, job market, economic growth, recession, financial stress, economic outlook, personal financial outlook, federal economic policies. We also cover trade, taxes, and debt. Our TIPP economic optimism index, financial stress index, job sensitivity metrics, and other polling on current economic issues drive the discussions.
Sound Money, Artificial Intelligence, And The Pope
The present unsound money regime has abetted vast malinvestment in the digital revolution now in its AI phase
The Fear Of The Signal: Why The State Urgently Wants To Bind Prediction Markets
Predictive markets are experiencing a massive paradigm shift. They are rapidly transitioning from a niche internet subculture into a powerhouse financial category
April Money Supply Growth Hit A 49-Month High. And Prices Soared.
April’s increase is also a big change from April 2025 when the year-over-year growth rate was a mere 1.8 percent
Iran Will Fall Within The Year: Amit Segal And Josh Hammer
Iran is losing $450 million [a day] through the blockade in the Strait of Hormuz
Brazil’s Monetary Hangover: Why Lula’s Fiscal Push Keeps Interest Rates High
President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva’s administration is publicly frustrated with high interest rates, but the numbers tell a simpler story
G7 Leaders Meet Amid Tensions Over Iran And Ukraine
Trump is expected to urge allies to help secure and reopen the strait, with Britain and France already expressing support for post-conflict maritime operations
Crude Prices Drop Sharply Following Reports On New Iran War Deal
Brent crude dropped about 5% to below $83 per barrel, while U.S. crude fell more than 5% to around $80.
Stocks Surge As Iran War Deal Lifts Global Markets
Investors welcomed confirmation from President Donald Trump that an initial agreement had been reached and that the U.S. naval blockade of Iranian ports would be lifted
Xi’s Lost Decade
A real estate bust the size of Japan’s, not yet halfway through. Xi holds the one tool that could break the spiral, and won’t use it.
The Pig Doesn't Lie
The pig the Party once promised would stay cheap now costs more to raise than it sells for.
U.S. Consumer Sentiment Rebounds After Three-Month Slide
According to the University of Michigan's latest survey, consumer sentiment increased 9% in early June to a preliminary reading of 48.9
AI, Creative Destruction, And The Politicization of Economic Change
The debate is often framed as a struggle between technological progress and employment
Pentagon Weighs Scaling Back Military Assets In Europe: Report
Planned cuts reportedly include lowering the number of F-16 and F-15E fighter jets from about 150 to 100, reducing maritime reconnaissance aircraft from 26 to 15, and withdrawing eight aerial refueling tanker aircraft.
World Bank Says The Iran War Is Throttling Global Growth
The lender cuts its 2026 forecast to the weakest since the pandemic and warns of a deeper slump if energy supply worsens.
Appeals Court Allows U.S. To Continue Collecting 10% Tariffs
The decision allows the tariffs, imposed in February under Section 122 of the Trade Act, to remain in effect as the court reviews whether the administration acted within its legal authority.