With less than 72 hours until Election Day, Trump and Harris are tied at 48% in the TIPP tracking poll. Conducted October 30 through November 1, the online survey reveals deep divides across age, race, and region. Both campaigns are pushing turnout hard, making every hour critical. Recognized by The Washington Post in 2020 as the most accurate national presidential poll, TIPP continues to bring you the latest insights on the race.
Also see: Latest Win Probabilities – November 2
Multi-Candidate Results
With third-party candidates in play, Trump leads 48.2% to Harris’s 48.1%, while minor candidates West and Stein barely register at 1.0% and 0.8%, respectively.
ICYMI: Latest Win Probabilities – November 2
Our performance in 2020 for accuracy as rated by Washington Post:
Fortune on 2020 election results
Washington Post on 2020 election results
2016 Presidential Election:
As noted by Fox News, the IBD/TIPP Poll was one of only two polls to predict President Trump's victory in 2016t, ours was the only national poll to show Trump ahead in a four-way race heading into Election Day 2016.
Media Comments on the IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll for Election 2016
"The gold standard going forward." — The Hill
"IBD/TIPP tracking poll was the only major national poll in November to give Trump the lead in a race including third-party candidates." — USA Today
"Investor's Business Daily was the best poll." — Bill O'Reilly, The O'Reilly Factor
"This will be the fourth presidential election in a row in which IBD/TIPP got it right." — Investor's Business Daily
"Mayur's firm Technometrica conducts the Investor's Business Daily Poll, which was rated the "most accurate" poll of the three prior elections. Make that four." — The Star-Ledger (NJ.com)
"Almost everybody got it wrong, except Mayur." — The Record (NorthJersey.com)
"IBD/TIPP Tracking turned out to be the most accurate pollster." — Mediaite
