Vice President Kamala Harris's lead over former President Donald Trump narrowed to three points, with 49% to Trump’s 46%. This data comes from the fourth release of the 23-day TIPP tracking poll series, conducted among 1,228 likely voters with a margin of error of ±2.8 points. Recognized by The Washington Post in 2020 as the most accurate national presidential poll, TIPP continues to bring you the latest insights on the race.
Key Takeaway: Nation’s Compass – Right Track/Wrong Track
A deep dissatisfaction with the country’s direction poses a serious challenge for the incumbents. The TIPP Poll shows that 66% of Americans are unhappy with the nation's path. Republicans (62%) and Independents (43%) express the highest levels of dissatisfaction, while even 40% of Democrats are discontent. With just 25 days left, this sentiment represents a significant hurdle for the incumbents.
For full access to detailed findings, demographic breakdowns, and key insights, subscribe to receive the complete report and enjoy 23 days of keeping you posted.
Our performance in 2020 for accuracy as rated by Washington Post:
Fortune on 2020 election results
Washington Post on 2020 election results
2016 Presidential Election:
As noted by Fox News, the IBD/TIPP Poll was one of only two polls to predict President Trump's victory in 2016t, ours was the only national poll to show Trump ahead in a four-way race heading into Election Day 2016.
Media Comments on the IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll for Election 2016
"The gold standard going forward." — The Hill
"IBD/TIPP tracking poll was the only major national poll in November to give Trump the lead in a race including third-party candidates." — USA Today
"Investor's Business Daily was the best poll." — Bill O'Reilly, The O'Reilly Factor
"This will be the fourth presidential election in a row in which IBD/TIPP got it right." — Investor's Business Daily
"Mayur's firm Technometrica conducts the Investor's Business Daily Poll, which was rated the "most accurate" poll of the three prior elections. Make that four." — The Star-Ledger (NJ.com)
"Almost everybody got it wrong, except Mayur." — The Record (NorthJersey.com)
"IBD/TIPP Tracking turned out to be the most accurate pollster." — Mediaite
