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WTO Report Sees AI Driving Trade Growth, Urges Safeguards

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Artificial intelligence could increase global trade in goods and services by up to 37% and boost global GDP by more than 12% by 2040, according to the World Trade Organization’s annual report released Wednesday.

The study said AI can lower costs in logistics, compliance, and communications, while translation tools could make it easier for small businesses to expand internationally.

Low-income countries could see export growth rise by as much as 11% if they invest in stronger digital infrastructure. However, the WTO cautioned that without targeted policies, AI risks widening economic and labor market divides.

Director General Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala warned that AI may displace workers even as it creates new opportunities, urging governments to invest in education, retraining, and safety nets.

The report stressed that predictable trade rules, lower tariffs on key AI inputs like semiconductors, and inclusive policies will be essential to ensuring balanced global growth.

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