Artificial intelligence could increase global trade in goods and services by up to 37% and boost global GDP by more than 12% by 2040, according to the World Trade Organization’s annual report released Wednesday.
The study said AI can lower costs in logistics, compliance, and communications, while translation tools could make it easier for small businesses to expand internationally.
Amid current tensions, a bright spot for trade: Artificial intelligence could amplify global trade flows nearly 40% by 2040 with the right enabling policies. Dive into the #WorldTradeReport 2025 to learn how we can make it happen. Out now: https://t.co/aRkpdKyb7o pic.twitter.com/DLapoo7IFt
— WTO (@wto) September 17, 2025
Low-income countries could see export growth rise by as much as 11% if they invest in stronger digital infrastructure. However, the WTO cautioned that without targeted policies, AI risks widening economic and labor market divides.
Director General Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala warned that AI may displace workers even as it creates new opportunities, urging governments to invest in education, retraining, and safety nets.
AI could turbocharge global trade and GDP by 2040, but only if policymakers act to ensure benefits reach everyone, says new WTO reporthttps://t.co/3155GjaGII
— TRT World (@trtworld) September 17, 2025
The report stressed that predictable trade rules, lower tariffs on key AI inputs like semiconductors, and inclusive policies will be essential to ensuring balanced global growth.
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