The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield briefly crossed 5% Monday for the first time since October 2023, as investors prepared for this week’s Federal Reserve policy decision.
The benchmark yield reached 5.014% before retreating to about 4.947%. The 30-year Treasury yield also declined to 5.321%, while the two-year yield fell to 4.615%.
Markets are pricing in a 90% chance of a quarter-point rate hike, according to CME Group’s FedWatch tool. Strategist Jay Woods said a hike could already be reflected in asset prices, while leaving rates unchanged could unsettle investors.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s bond-buyback efforts have had limited impact. Analysts warned that a disorderly surge in yields could create broader financial-market risks, although stocks have so far remained relatively resilient.
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BREAKING: 10-year Treasury yield hits 5% for first time since 2023 as traders brace for Fed decision this week pic.twitter.com/NBC4gfIeb3
— CNBC (@CNBC) September 14, 2026
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