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China Weighs Risks And Opportunities In Trump’s Ukraine Peace Plan

Photo by Mark Kuiper / Unsplash

China has stayed mostly in the background during President Donald Trump’s renewed push to broker a Ukraine peace deal, but analysts say Beijing sees major long-term stakes in how any settlement reshapes the global balance of power.

The original 28-point U.S. proposal has been trimmed to 19 points after backlash from Ukraine and Europe, and Trump has eased off his self-imposed deadline.

Beijing is not part of the talks, but Russian officials say they remain in close contact with China. Analysts argue China’s real leverage lies in post-war reconstruction, its influence over Russia, and its economic weight.

Beijing is expected to move cautiously, seeking opportunities to contribute without appearing aligned with Moscow’s invasion.

Experts remain skeptical that China will be invited to play a major role in any final settlement, as both Ukraine and Europe distrust Beijing’s closeness to Russia. They also note that a peace deal could free U.S. resources to counter China in the Indo-Pacific.

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