How The Erosion Of Latino Support Doomed Harris In 2024

Raghavan Mayur -
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Editor’s Note: As we reflect on the election results, we will share data-driven insights and plan to resume editorials on recently overlooked topics in the days ahead. Thank you for your continued readership.

Latino voter support, once a cornerstone of Democratic margins, has sharply declined in 2024, significantly impacting Kamala Harris's bid. While Hispanics boosted Democratic margins by nearly four points in 2016 and 2020, their influence dwindled to just 1% this cycle, underscoring a pivotal shift.

Trump’s 2024 Edge in Battleground States: A Comparative Look At Gains Since 2020 And 2016

In a dramatic reversal of recent trends, Donald Trump secured key battleground states in the 2024 election, outperforming his 2020 results and shifting margins from previous years. This analysis breaks down his gains across states like Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania, highlighting how his support has strengthened compared to both 2020 and 2016.

Silent Surge: How Last-Minute Deciders And Hidden Voters Propelled Trump To Victory In 2024

In the 2024 election, Trump defied the polls across key battleground states, outperforming predictions that showed him with modest leads—or even put Harris slightly ahead in states like Wisconsin and Michigan. However, in the final stretch, roughly 6% to 10% of voters decided, tipping the scales of Trump’s way. As usual, undecided voters broke for the challenger, adding to Trump’s margins. Then there were the “silent” voters who kept their preferences to themselves, throwing another wrench in the polls and handing Trump critical wins in swing states. Together, these late shifts and hidden supporters brought an unexpected boost to his victory.

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