I&I/TIPP Poll: Are State Voting Reforms Racist? Americans Again Are Deeply Divided

I&I/TIPP Poll: Are State Voting Reforms Racist? Americans Again Are Deeply Divided

Terry Jones examines the findings of an I&I/TIPP poll on Americans' perceptions of whether state voting reforms such as voter ID laws are racist.

Terry Jones

Among some groups, one of the main criticisms of recent state election reform efforts has been that they are racially motivated, intended to keep minorities from voting. New polling data from I&I/TIPP show Americans once again sharply split on the issue.

The I&I/TIPP Poll asked the following question: “To what extent do you agree or disagree with this statement: State election reforms like voter ID laws are racist.”

The results are decidedly mixed. While a plurality of 45% agree with that statement, 39% do not. And just 22% say they “strongly agree” with that statement, while 26% say they strongly disagree.

I&I Tipp Results Chart 1: Are state election reforms like voter id laws racist?

The I&I/TIPP data come from the monthly I&I/TIPP poll conducted by TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence. The most recent poll was conducted online from July 28 to July 30. The survey includes responses from 1,322 adults, with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 points. It is part of a new collaboration between Issues & Insights and TIPP to gauge public opinion on key current issues of interest to all Americans.

In this poll, interesting splits emerge within different demographic groups. Perhaps not surprisingly, 58% of blacks and Hispanics say they agree such state-based reform efforts, including voter ID, are racist, while just 26% disagree.

But among white Americans, just 39% agree, while 46% disagree. Minority respondents seem to have much stronger feelings about the issue.

A few findings from the data seem unexpected or, perhaps, even counterintuitive.

One is that men are far more likely to see racist intent in voting reform efforts than are women. And it isn’t close. The breakdown: A majority of all men — 51% — agreed. But just 39% of women did, 12 percentage points lower.

The differences grow even bigger when considering unmarried vs. married women. Single women agree at 43%, but disagree by a smaller 35%; for married women, it’s 34% agree to 46%, reversing the single-female results.

Another surprising finding: The share that agree is largely a high-income phenomenon. For instance, among those earning less than $30,000 a year, the split is even: 41% agree, and 41% disagree. Go up to $30,000-$50,000 in income, and the split’s very similar: 41% agree, 43% disagree. At $50,000-$75,000 in income, the share that agrees edges up to 43%, but so does the share that disagrees, rising to 45%.

But go over $75,000 in annual income, and the split is quite pronounced: 59% agree vs. 33% disagree.

I&I TIPP Results Chart 2: Are state election reforms like voter id laws racist?

Similarly, an age split is evident. Only one age group shows a majority agreeing that state election reform efforts, including requiring IDs to vote, are racist: Those aged 25 to 44, among whom 59% agree, while only 26% disagree. No other age group has more than 43% who agree.

One further comparison is worthy of note. Among the “agrees,” Democrats are the overwhelming political affiliation. Indeed, Democrats agree by 66% and disagree by only 21% to the reforms being racist. Not surprisingly, Republican flip those numbers, with only 22% agreeing and 67% disagreeing.

But what about independents, the group that routinely emerges as the swing vote in nearly all recent elections? Among indie voters, 36% agree, but 41% disagree.

I&I TIPP Chart 3: Are state election reforms like voter id laws racist?

So what is the significance of all this? While Americans may be sharply split on how they regard recent state election reform efforts, recent polls also show that they are deeply worried about the integrity of our election system.

A new Rasumussen poll, for instance, found an overwhelming 90% calling it “important” to end cheating, but don’t think it affected the outcome of the 2020 election. And voter ID is likely to be one reform that finds a lot of support: 74% in the Rasmussen tally called requiring an ID to vote a “reasonable measure.”

Meanwhile, separate polling by the Center for Excellence in Polling, part of the Foundation for Government Accountability, found 58% want the federal government to stay out of state voter registration efforts.

“Research from the Center for Excellence in Polling clearly shows that removing state control from the regulation of election processes such as voter registration is unpopular among a bipartisan coalition of voters,” said Nick Stehle, FGA spokesman, speaking to the Washington Examiner.

In short, the state-level status quo of the past two election cycles won’t be immune to change.

I&I/TIPP will create more data from polls in coming weeks on topics of vital interest to all Americans. TIPP, as noted before, has the distinction of being the most accurate pollster for the past five presidential elections.

Terry Jones is an editor of Issues & Insights, with four decades of journalism experience. He earlier served as the editorial page editor for Investor’s Business Daily.


TIPP Takes

As the US Withdraws, China Pins Regional Stability Hopes On The Afghan Taliban

As the US Withdraws, China Pins Regional Stability Hopes On The Afghan Taliban

Last month, China's Foreign Minister Wang Yi welcomed a high-profile delegation of Taliban officials to meet in the Chinese city of Tianjin.

Sharing a 76-kilometer border with Afghanistan, Beijing is maneuvering to protect its interests as the United States withdraws from its longest war.

Counter-terrorism expert Raffaello Pantucci suggests that although China is investing billions into neighboring Pakistan, for now, it doesn't appear willing to do the same in Afghanistan.

With the once restive western region Xinjiang now pacified, China wants to ensure the Taliban's return doesn't precipitate the return of the East Turkistan Islamic Movement.

Chinese authorities say the group is responsible for hundreds of terrorist attacks in China. But their presence has been largely snuffed out over the last two decades.

Mr. Pantucci maintained that regional security is China's preeminent concern.


Taliban Seize Control Of Three More Afghan Provincial Capitals

Taliban Seize Control Of Three More Afghan Provincial Capitals

The Taliban tightened the noose around northern Afghanistan, capturing three more provincial capitals.

In the north, Kunduz, Sar-e-Pul, and Taloqan fell within hours of each other, lawmakers, security sources, and residents in the cities confirmed.

In Kunduz, one resident described the city as being enveloped in "total chaos."

Northern Afghanistan has long been considered an anti-Taliban stronghold that saw some of the stiffest resistance to militant rule in the 1990s.

The region remains home to several militias and is also a fertile recruiting ground for the country's armed forces.

"The capture of Kunduz is quite significant because it will free up a large number of Taliban forces who might then be mobilized in other parts of the north," said Ibraheem Thurial, a consultant for International Crisis Group.


Ugandan Blogger's 'Life In Peril' After Arrest In Turkey

Turkey-based Ugandan blogger Fred Lumbuye.
Turkey-based Ugandan blogger Fred Lumbuye.

Reports of the arrest of a Ugandan Blogger, Fred Lumbuye, in Turkey have set alarm bells ringing for freedom of expression in Africa.

Fred Lumbuye, a well-known blogger, social media activist, and critic of Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni, was arrested in Turkey.

Human rights and political activists have raised concerns about the possibility of the Ugandan activist being extradited to Uganda.

So far, information from Ugandans who spoke to D.W. and posted on social media suggested the allegations against Lumbuye all stem from his criticism of President Yoweri Museveni's government.

Ugandan radio and digital journalist Kenneth Lukwago said it comes as no surprise as President Museveni has openly declared anyone criticizing his government "persona non grata."


Rwanda, Mozambique Army Regain Control Of Port Held By Jihadists

Rwanda, Mozambique Army Regain Control Of Port Held By Jihadists

Rwandan forces deployed last month to help Mozambique's army battle jihadists said they had recaptured control of the key northern port of Mocimboa da Praia from the extremist militants.

The port town, from where the first Islamist attacks were staged in October 2017, had become the de-facto headquarters of the Islamic State-linked extremists, locally referred to as Al-Shabab.

Mocimboa da Praia "was the last stronghold of the insurgents, marking the end of the first phase of counter-insurgency operations which is dislodging insurgents from the stronghold," Colonel Rwivanga said in a text message.

Rwanda sent in 1,000 troops last month to shore up Mozambican military forces that have been struggling to regain control over the northern Cabo Delgado province, which is home to one of Africa's biggest liquefied natural gas projects.


Tokyo 2020: Tiny San Marino Is The Most Successful Country

Gian Marco Berti, left, Alessandra Perilli, both of San Marino won silver in the mixed team trap at the Tokyo 2020 Summer Olympics . Gian Marco Berti, left, Alessandra Perilli, both of San Marino won silver in the mixed team trap at the Tokyo 2020 Summer Olympics .
Gian Marco Berti, left, Alessandra Perilli, both of San Marino won silver in the mixed team trap at the Tokyo 2020 Summer Olympics .

Team USA and Chinese athletes are returning home from Tokyo with the highest medal tallies but tiny San Marino and Bermuda can lay claim to the title of most successful countries at the Olympics.

But when looking at countries' populations, the medal table looks a lot different.

San Marino sent five athletes to Tokyo, and they're returning home with three medals — one silver and two bronzes. This puts the small land-locked European country of just 33,860 inhabitants 72nd on the medal table per country, per first per capita.

Bermuda counts 63,900 inhabitants. It won just one medal, a gold, putting the North Atlantic island 63rd in the ranking by countries but second per capita.

Grenada walks away from Tokyo with a single bronze medal, but that puts it third of the medal table per capita. The Caribbean island has a population of just over 112,000.

Fellow island nations New Zealand, Bahamas, Jamaica, and Fiji follow. Croatia, Slovenia, and Georgia complete the top ten.


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