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IEA Chief Warns Middle East Tensions Could Prolong Global Energy Crisis

Diesel costs have doubled compared with pre-war levels, reflecting the conflict and attacks on Russian refineries.

Photo by Zbynek Burival / Unsplash

Global energy markets may remain unstable through 2027 as Middle East tensions threaten oil supplies, International Energy Agency chief Fatih Birol warned, according to CNN. Brent crude was trading above $111 per barrel on Tuesday, amid concerns that the US-Iran conflict could escalate.

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Birol cautioned that renewed disruption in the Strait of Hormuz could have serious consequences. Before the conflict, the strategic waterway carried around one-fifth of global oil and natural gas supplies. Recent attacks have heightened shipping risks.

The crisis extends beyond crude prices. Diesel costs have doubled compared with pre-war levels, reflecting the conflict and attacks on Russian refineries. Seasonal demand increases and planned refinery maintenance could tighten supplies further, Birol said.

The IEA remains prepared to release additional emergency reserves if necessary. Member countries agreed to release 400 million barrels in March, with 80% already delivered to markets. They retain approximately 1.6 billion barrels in reserve, according to Birol.

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