Skip to content

IMF Credits U.S.-Led AI Surge For Blunting Trade War Fallout

Jihad Azour, director of the IMF’s Middle East and Central Asia Department via @yicaichina

Global investment in artificial intelligence has helped stabilize the world economy amid escalating U.S. trade wars, an IMF official said Monday. Speaking at Abu Dhabi Finance Week, Jihad Azour, director of the IMF’s Middle East and Central Asia Department, said rising tariffs produced far less inflation than expected because global trade adjusted quickly and AI spending surged.

Azour noted that heavy investment — particularly in the United States — strengthened overall economic activity and muted tariff shocks.

The IMF now forecasts 3.2% global growth in 2025 and 3.1% in 2026, higher than initial projections issued when President Donald Trump launched new trade measures.

Worldwide AI spending is expected to reach $1.5 trillion in 2025 and exceed $2 trillion in 2026, boosted by major national projects such as the U.S. “Stargate” initiative and China’s “Eastern Data, Western Computing” strategy.

Azour warned, however, of a widening gap between tech valuations and real asset prices, cautioning that global uncertainty could still shave up to 2% of GDP over the next two years.

Also read:

IBM Buys Confluent For $11 Billion To Boost AI Data Power
IBM announced an $11 billion all-cash deal to acquire data-streaming firm Confluent, triggering a 29% surge in Confluent’s premarket shares on Monday. IBM shares dipped about 1%. The company will pay $31 per share, with the transaction expected to close by mid-2026. IBM to Acquire Confluent to Create Smart
Trump Bets GOP Future On Unleashed AI Boom
President Donald Trump is staking his presidency and the GOP’s future on rapid, lightly regulated growth in artificial intelligence, deepening his alliance with tech billionaires and major AI firms. Since taking office, Trump has rolled back rules, secured foreign investment for chip plants and data centers, and launched multiple

Comments

Latest