Just 36% Of Independents Think The Jan. 6 Commission Is A Genuine Fact-Finding Effort: I&I/TIPP

Just 36% Of Independents Think The Jan. 6 Commission Is A Genuine Fact-Finding Effort: I&I/TIPP

Terry Jones discusses the results of the most recent I&I/TIPP poll on whether the January 6th commission will find the truth.

Terry Jones

Editor’s note: tippinsights gratefully acknowledges its collaboration with Issues & Insights on the simultaneous and exclusive release of this story.

Democrats advertised the Jan. 6 Commission as an effort to ”investigate and report on the facts and causes relating to the January 6, 2021, domestic terrorist attack.” But in today’s highly charged partisan world, few believe that this is the commission’s genuine concern, according to the latest I&I/TIPP Poll.

The poll, which was taken after the first day of the Commission’s hearings, asked a straightforward question: “How likely is it that the Jan. 6 commission will make a genuine effort to uncover the truth?”

Overall, the poll found that only 22% of the public believes that it's  “very likely” the commission will make such an effort, while 18% say it’s “not likely at all.” Another 26% believe it’s “somewhat” likely, while on the other side, 19% say it’s “not very likely” that the commission plans to expose the truth about what happened.

TIPP Poll Results Pie Chart: Likelihood that the january 6 commission will make a sincere effort

Not surprisingly, Democrats have more confidence in the goal of the commission, with 73% saying it is “very” or “somewhat” likely that it will make a genuine effort to uncover the truth.

But what is surprising is how little faith independents have in the commission. Only 36% of them think it’s likely it will make a genuine effort to uncover the truth, while 42% say it isn’t likely to do so. Among Republicans, 24% say it’s likely and 61% unlikely.

TIPP Poll Results Chart: Likelihood that january 6 commission will make a sincere effort

The results come from the latest monthly I&I/TIPP poll conducted by TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence from July 28-July 30, which included responses from 1,322 adults, giving it a margin of error of +/- 2.8 points. It is part of a new collaboration between Issues & Insights and TIPP to gauge public opinion on key current issues of interest to all Americans.

A previous TIPP poll taken in June found that independents were less likely than Democrats to call the events of January 6 an act of “domestic terrorism,” (21% vs. 34%) and more likely to simply label it a riot (26% vs. 19%). And while 22% of Democrats called it an “armed insurrection,” only 13% of independents did so.

Other polls have shown independents’ support for the commission has tumbled. Just 52% say they support the commission in the latest Morning Consult poll, down from 65% the month before. Republican support fell from 45% to 34% between those two polls.

The commission – which is officially called the National Commission to Investigate the January 6 Attack on the United States Capitol Complex – came under turmoil when House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., took the highly unusual move of kicking two Republicans off what was supposed to be a bi-partisan commission: Reps. Jim Jordan, R-Ohio, and Jim Banks, R-Indiana.

That prompted House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy to yank all five GOP lawmakers from the commission, and Rep. Banks to tweet that: “Speaker Pelosi only allowed people in the 1/6 Select Cmte room that will push her partisan narrative. They rejected my call to include the head of the Capitol Police Union who represents USCP rank-and-file. So we didn’t get the full story — just her cherry-picked version of events.”

Who does trust the Jan. 6 commission to do its job? Young urban liberals with a college degree who make well over the median income.

The poll found that 63% of urbanites and 62% of those 25-44 years old say the commission is likely to carry out its main purpose, but only 34% of those from rural areas, and 39% of the 45-64 do. Among those making more than $750,000 a year, 64% say the commission is likely to make a genuine effort, but only 42% of those making less than $30,000.

Fifty-nine percent of college graduates trust the commission, a number that falls to just 43% among high-school educated. Men are more likely than women to think the commission will make a genuine fact-finding effort (54% vs. 42%).

I&I/TIPP looks forward to providing more data in the coming weeks on topics of vital interest to all Americans. TIPP, as we’ve noted, has the distinction of being the most accurate pollster for the past five presidential elections.

Terry Jones is an editor of Issues & Insights.  Before that, he served as the editorial page editor for Investor’s Business Daily.  A graduate of UCLA, he lives in Los Angeles.

TIPP Takes

Iran Rejects Israeli Claim It Was Behind Tanker Attack Off Oman

Iran Rejects Israeli Claim It Was Behind Tanker Attack Off Oman

Israel, the U.S., and the UK accuse Iran of an attack that killed two crew members on a tanker; Iran denies the accusation.

The Liberian-flagged oil tanker is managed by an Israeli company, was struck off the Omani island of Masirah, in an apparent drone attack that killed a Romanian and a UK national.

Iran's foreign ministry spokesman condemned the allegations during a virtual news conference. Iranian official "Whoever sows wind will reap a storm," he said.

Myanmar Military Forms Caretaker Gov't With Army Chief As PM

Senior Gen. Min Aung Hlaing
Senior Gen. Min Aung Hlaing Of Myanmar

Myanmar's military has announced the formation of a caretaker government, which will rule until the next general election in 2023.

Senior Gen. Min Aung Hlaing, the chief of the army, will be the country's prime minister.

More than 900 people have been killed as a result of the military's crackdown in the aftermath of last year's coup.

Suu Kyi, along with former President Win Myint and others, is still detained.

Tokyo Olympics Not To Observe Moment Of Silence For A-Bomb Victims

Tokyo Olympics Not To Observe Moment Of Silence For A-Bomb Victims

The International Olympic Committee will not ask athletes and officials to observe a moment of silence.

The Hiroshima city government and an advocacy group for "hibakusha," or survivors of the 1945 attack by the United States, had called on the International Olympic Committee to organize a moment of remembrance at 8:15 a.m. on Aug. 6, the exact time the bomb dropped.

More than 100,000 children in Ethiopia's Tigray could die of hunger- UNICEF

More than 100,000 children in Ethiopia's Tigray could die of hunger- UNICEF

New UNICEF estimate reflects a 10-fold jump in severe malnutrition.

The United Nations children's agency said that more than 100,000 children in Ethiopia's northern region of Tigray could suffer life-threatening malnutrition in the next 12 months, a 10-fold increase to normal numbers.

UNICEF said that one-in-two pregnant and breastfeeding women screened were acutely malnourished. Aid agencies say they are about to run out of the formula used to treat 4,000 severely malnourished children every month.

The U.N. says Tigray needs 100 trucks of food daily to prevent mass starvation; only one 50-truck convoy has gotten through in the past month.

Rescuers Pull 394 Migrants From Dangerously Overcrowded Boat Off Tunisia

Rescuers Pull 394 Migrants From Dangerously Overcrowded Boat Off Tunisia

Two humanitarian rescue ships pulled 394 migrants from a dangerously overcrowded wooden boat in the Mediterranean overnight in an operation lasting about six hours, a Reuters witness said.

The migrants were mainly men from Morocco, Bangladesh, Egypt, and Syria.

The German and French NGO ships Sea-Watch 3 and Ocean Viking rescued the migrants in Tunisian waters 42 miles from the North African coast, near oil facilities and other ships. The craft was taking in water, and its engine was not working.

It was not clear if there were any deaths or injuries. The wooden boat was crammed with migrants on deck and inside the hull.

Migrant boat departures from Libya and Tunisia to Italy and other parts of Europe have increased in recent months as weather conditions have improved.

According to the U.N.-affiliated International Organization for Migration, more than 1,100 people fleeing conflict and poverty in Africa and the Middle East have perished this year in the Mediterranean.


Sign in or become a tippinsights member to join the conversation.
Just enter your email below to get a log in link.