House Republicans face an increasingly competitive battle to retain their majority, with Democrats needing a net gain of only three seats, according to the nonpartisan Cook Political Report.
Cook shifted 15 House races toward Democrats on Friday and now projects Democrats could gain between five and 15 seats. Its ratings show Democrats favored in 208 races compared with 205 for Republicans, while 17 Republican-held seats are classified as toss-ups.
Many competitive districts were won by President Donald Trump in 2024. Cook said dissatisfaction with the economy has weakened Trump's standing in several of those areas.
The NRCC dismissed the ratings, arguing Republicans have stronger campaign operations and financial resources. Democrats said rising costs and dissatisfaction with the GOP could cost Republicans control of the House.
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House Republicans on track to lose majority https://t.co/m519ooCqqp
— Axios (@axios) September 25, 2026
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