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Strong El Niño Forecast To Bring Stormier Winter To Southern US

NOAA estimates an 83% chance that the event will be the strongest since 1950, up from 75% the previous month.

NOAA says the U.S. winter will likely be wetter and warmer, but not necessarily snowier, due to El Niño. Pic via(@abc7newsbayarea)

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s winter outlook forecasts a stormier season across the West Coast and southern United States as a powerful El Niño develops.

NOAA estimates an 83% chance that the event will be the strongest since 1950, up from 75% the previous month. El Niño warms parts of the tropical Pacific, shifting atmospheric circulation and steering storms toward the southern states.

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Forecasters warn that repeated storms could increase the risk of flash floods and mudslides, while potentially easing drought conditions across the Southwest and Southern Plains. California Governor Gavin Newsom has declared a state of emergency in preparation for possible flooding, high winds and heavy mountain snowfall.

Meanwhile, the Northern Tier, Midwest and New England are expected to experience warmer and drier conditions than average, potentially reducing snowfall in some areas.

NOAA Director Ken Graham urged communities to prepare for changing conditions, noting that long-term warming trends also influence seasonal snowfall patterns.

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