U.S. consumers’ inflation expectations rose sharply in September, with the median outlook for prices over the next year reaching 3.9%, according to the New York Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Expectations.
The reading was up 0.3 percentage point from August and marked the highest level since May 2023.
Markets largely expect the Federal Reserve to hold its benchmark interest rate at 3.75%-4% later this month. New York Fed President John Williams has said policymakers can take time to assess incoming data.
Longer-term expectations remain comparatively stable, with three-year expectations at 3.3% and five-year expectations at 3%.
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Inflation fears on the rise as one-year outlook in Fed survey hits highest level since May 2023 https://t.co/dVg2k0uiKk
— CNBC (@CNBC) October 7, 2026
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