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UN Warns World Will Exceed 1.5°C Climate Limit Within A Decade

Photo by Matt Palmer / Unsplash

The world is set to breach the 1.5°C global warming limit within the next decade, according to the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP).

In its latest Emissions Gap Report, the agency said countries have failed to cut greenhouse gas emissions fast enough to meet the 2015 Paris Agreement goals.

Even if nations fulfill their current climate pledges, global temperatures are expected to rise between 2.3°C and 2.5°C this century, UNEP said. Existing policies could push that number closer to 2.8°C.

Lead author Anne Olhoff warned that “we can no longer totally avoid” the overshoot, though deep emissions cuts could still delay it.

The findings come ahead of the COP30 climate summit, where nations will face mounting pressure to fund and implement faster climate action.

While global warming projections have improved since 2015 — from 4°C to under 3°C — emissions still grew 2.3% in 2024, driven by coal, oil, and gas use.

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