A new TIPP Poll shows President Trump is off to a strong start. Seventy days in, voters give him high marks for handling immigration, restoring the country’s values, and the managing the economy. His overall job approval stands at 44%, with 45% disapproving—close to even in a sharply divided country. Trump’s base is fired up—to them, it’s like Christmas every day. TIPP earned its reputation by being the most accurate pollster in the last six presidential elections. The nationwide survey of 1,452 Americans was conducted March 26–28 and has a credibility interval of ±2.6 points.
Favorability
Seventy days into his presidency, President Trump held a 45% favorability rating, with a net favorability of +1 (45% favorable vs. 44% unfavorable). Last month, his net favorability rating was +4 (47% favorable vs. 43% unfavorable).
Trump enjoys strong backing from Republicans (81%) and conservatives (77%), while most Democrats (76%) and liberals (77%) view him unfavorably. Independent voters are split, with 33% viewing him favorably and 51% unfavorably. Moderates also lean negative, with 34% favorable and 53% unfavorable, signaling a challenge for Trump in appealing to swing voters. Meanwhile, 11% of the public remains undecided.
How About Vice President JD Vance?
Vice President JD Vance also holds a net favorability of +1, with 38% viewing him favorably, 37% unfavorably, and 25% unsure. He enjoys support among Republicans (72%) and conservatives (70%), while most Democrats (66%) and liberals (68%) view him unfavorably. Independents are split at 26% favorable and 42% unfavorable; a sizable 32% remain undecided. Among moderates, Vance faces a net negative rating (26% favorable vs. 43% unfavorable), with nearly a third (30%) still unsure, leaving him room to sharpen his image with the critical voting bloc.
Trump’s Job Approval Stands At 44%
Seventy days into his presidency, 44% of Americans approve of President Trump’s job performance, while 45% disapprove, giving him a net approval of -1. Last month, the net approval was +3 (46% approve and 43% disapprove).
In a divided America, partisan divisions are stark: Republicans (81%) and conservatives (77%) approve of Trump’s job performance, while Democrats (78%) and liberals (77%) overwhelmingly disapprove.
Independents lean towards negative territory, with 33% approving and 52% disapproving; while moderates are similarly split at 32% approval vs. 54% disapproval.
Meanwhile, 11% of Americans, including 15% of independents and 14% of moderates, remain undecided on Trump's performance.
Tracking Trump’s Leadership: A Seismic Shift In The TIPP Presidential Leadership Index
TIPP’s Presidential Leadership Index offers a streamlined way to track three key components: favorability, job approval, and presidential leadership. The index ranges from 0 to 100, with readings above 50.0 indicating optimism and below 50.0 signaling pessimism.
Under 75 days in office, Trump scores 50.2, placing him in positive territory. Republicans show overwhelming support, soaring to 85.9, while Democrats’ support nosedives to 19.3. Independents post 40.8, signaling a negative outlook.
With the transfer of power, the Republican surge and Democratic plunge highlight the stark political realignment. The dramatic reversal underscores how partisan sentiment shifts when the White House changes hands.
How Trump’s April Leadership Index Compares To Past Presidents
Seventy-plus days into his presidency, Trump’s score on the TIPP Presidential Leadership Index rating is 50.2, an improvement over his first-term score of 39.8, reflecting stronger public confidence. His current rating surpasses the early April score for Obama (48.4) and Bush (48.5), though, unlike them, Trump’s second term is nonconsecutive.
For context, George W. Bush (56.0) and Barack Obama (64.1) saw significantly higher first-term ratings in early April, fueled by initial optimism, but both experienced declines in their second terms. Biden was at 60.2, but Trump’s 50.2 in early April suggests a relatively strong position despite a deeply polarized political environment.
Strong Start: Voters Back Trump On Immigration
President Trump earns high marks for his key campaign issue—immigration and border security, with 48% rating his performance as excellent or good. Border crossings have plummeted under Trump 2.0. In March, migrant arrests at the southern border fell to just 7,180—the lowest monthly total ever recorded. That’s a 94% drop from the same time last year and a steep decrease from the previous four-year monthly average of 155,000 under the Biden administration.
Restoring America’s core values (41%), handling the economy (39%), taxes and spending (38%), and crime (38%) also stand out as prominent areas of voter confidence.
While opinions on foreign policy are still forming, Trump’s handling of China, Russia, and the Israel-Hamas conflict shows a mix of approval and uncertainty. With time, his leadership in these areas could further solidify support.
Overall, 41% of Americans rate Trump’s presidency positively so far.
Seventy days in, Trump 2.0 feels more in control. Voters are noticing the shift—Trump 2.0 is moving with more focus and fewer distractions. He’s not making the same mistakes he made in his first term, and he’s moving fast on what matters. The base is solid, Washington’s adjusting, and independents are watching a sharper, more disciplined Trump.
TIPP Picks
Selected articles from tippinsights.com and more
Trump 2.0
1. The Reckoning: No More Mr. Nice Guy As Trump Launches Liberation Day Fair Trade Push—Editorial Board, TIPP Insights
2. Trump, Tariffs, And The Liberation Of Main Street Prosperity—Steve Cortes, TIPP Insights
3. An Old Interview Of Trump Criticizing "Free Trade" Resurfaces—TIPP Staff, TIPP Insights
4. Peace Through Technological Strength: How Trump’s America Tames The Chinese Dragon—Shane Festa & Brent Sadler, The Daily Signal
5. Deportations Hit 100,000 Under Trump—Virginia Allen, The Daily Signal
6. Group Equips Parents To Lobby Lawmakers To Follow Trump’s Edict On Girls Sports—Elizabeth Troutman Mitchell, The Daily Signal
7. John Thune Comes Out Swinging Against Dem Effort To Block Trump’s Canada Tariffs—Adam Pack, DCNF
8. Trump Admin Gives DC Health Bureaucrats A Choice: Move To Alaska Or Resign—Emily Kopp, DCNF
9. Doocy Asks Karoline Leavitt Point-Blank What Will Happen If Admin Is ‘Wrong’ About Tariffs—Nicole Silverio, DCNF
World
10. The European Left Takes Out Conservative Politicians—Victor Davis Hanson, The Daily Signal
11. Trump: ‘Very Bad Things Are Going to Happen.’ Netanyahu Wants The U.S. To Destroy Iran.—Dennis J. Kucinich, Ron Paul Institute for Peace and Prosperity
12. How The Ukraine Minerals Deal Supports US Strategy And Ukrainian Security—Milo Austin & Wilson Beaver, The Daily Signal
13. China Halts Panama Ports Sale To U.S. Backed Consortium—TIPP Staff, TIPP Insights
Economy
14. If Only FTX Could Use The Fed’s Accounting—Douglas French, Mises Wire
15. Elon Musk’s ‘Mind-Blowing’ Chart Shows How Many Noncitizens Have Social Security Numbers—R.E. Wermus, The Daily Signal
16. Vance Slams Experts, Cites Trump's Economic Record—TIPP Staff, TIPP Insights
17. Who Owns The Gold?—George Ford Smith, Mises Wire
18. How The U.S. Trade Deficit Differs By Country—TIPP Staff, TIPP Insights
19. Tesla Stock Plummets As Q1 Deliveries Miss Estimates—TIPP Staff, TIPP Insights
Politics
20. Nationwide Injunctions Pose ‘Potential Constitutional Crisis,’ Warns Gingrich—Fred Lucas, The Daily Signal
21. NPR And PBS Are Begging For Mercy. They Don’t Deserve It—Mike Gonzalez, The Daily Signal
22. Be Careful What You Wish For: Biden’s Firing Of A Trump Appointee Boomerangs Big Time—Elizabeth Troutman Mitchell, The Daily Signal
23. Republicans Fend Off Democrat Bid To Seize Florida House Seat—George Caldwell, The Daily Signal
24. Republicans Secure Wins in Florida Special Elections—TIPP Staff, TIPP Insights
25. Darrell Issa Drops Receipts On Jasmine Crockett After She Chews Up 2 Minutes Ranting About Protecting Judiciary—Nicole Silverio, DCNF
26. Joni Ernst Asks Transportation Sec To Hand Over List Of $1 Billion Projects That Are Way Behind Schedule—Harold Hutchison, DCNF
27. GOP House Leadership Still Pondering Next Role For Returning Stefanik—George Caldwell, The Daily Signal
28. Rep. Anna Paulina Luna Quits House Freedom Caucus—Jacob Adams, The Daily Signal
29. Progressives Keep Wisconsin Supreme Court; More Democrat US House Seats Likely—Jacob Adams, The Daily Signal
30. Can Virginia Republicans Halt Extreme Abortion-Until-Birth Amendment?—Joe Thomas, The Daily Signal
31. Mallory McMorrow Announces Senate Bid—TIPP Staff, TIPP Insights
32. JD Vance Calls On Americans To Have ‘Courage To Live The Truth’—TIPP Staff, TIPP Insights
33. Supreme Court Justices Seem Inclined To Uphold Religious Charity’s Claim For State Tax Exemption—Sarah Parshall Perry, The Daily Signal
34. The Contested Meaning Of The Constitution—Wanjiru Njoya, Mises Wire
35. Bill Amending Oklahoma’s Anti-ESG Law Dies—Fred Lucas, The Daily Signal
36. Demolition Crews Finish Off Black Lives Matter Plaza—Hudson Crozier, DCNF
37. NYC Mayor Eric Adams' Corruption Case Dismissed—TIPP Staff, TIPP Insights
General Affairs
38. Free Speech Is Worth Fighting For—Ron Paul, Ron Paul Institute for Peace and Prosperity
39. Hegseth Bids Adieu To Military Wokeness—Rebecca Buis & Wilson Beaver, The Daily Signal
40. I Worked At Planned Parenthood For 15 Years—Here’s Why It Shouldn’t Get Taxpayer Dollars—Mayra Rodriguez, The Daily Signal
41. It’s All Lawfare: Everyone But The Cronies Get Cheated, Mistreated By Big Government—Seton Motley, The Daily Signal
42. The Left’s Imaginary COVID-19 ‘Reckoning’—David Harsanyi, The Daily Signal
43. Sens Unveil Bipartisan Bill To Save Greek Life From Wokeness On College Campuses—Adam Pack, DCNF
