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Which Risks Forced The ECB To Tighten Monetary Policy

According to the ECB, rising energy costs caused by disruptions in the Middle East have increased the risk of higher prices across the euro zone

ECB President Christine Lagarde (Pic via @PiQNewswire)

The European Central Bank (ECB) raised its key interest rate by 25 basis points to 2.25% on Thursday, marking its first rate hike since 2023 as inflationary pressures linked to the Iran conflict continue to build.

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According to the ECB, rising energy costs caused by disruptions in the Middle East have increased the risk of higher prices across the euro zone.

The central bank said the decision was aimed at preventing inflation from becoming entrenched as the war-driven energy shock spreads through food, goods and services.

The ECB also raised its inflation outlook, forecasting euro zone inflation at 3% in 2026 before gradually easing to its 2% target by 2028. At the same time, officials lowered growth projections, citing weaker confidence, higher commodity prices and pressure on household incomes.

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ECB President Christine Lagarde said the outlook remains uncertain, with risks to both inflation and economic growth. The bank stressed it is not committing to a fixed path for future rate decisions and will continue monitoring developments closely.

Analysts said the move reflects growing concern that higher energy prices could keep inflation elevated even as economic growth remains sluggish across Europe.

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